Where to Look for Election Predictions

Prediction Sites

With just days until arguably one of the most historic elections in recent history, I would like to give a run-down of most of the different polls and predictions for the 2016 presidential election.

RealClearPolitics (RCP) http://realclearpolitics.com/

The most popular site for polls is RealClearPolitics.  On this site, most polls are shown and there is also a RealClearPolitics average chart, an average of all the polls in the past week.  RealClearPolitics is used by most commentators and news agencies as well as political campaigns.  They not only show polls for the presidential election but also for the house, senate and governor’s races as well as other state elections.  RealClearPolitics also shows polls for opinions about national issues and approval ratings of politicians.

FiveThirtyEight (538) http://fivethirtyeight.com/

This site shows predictions based on polls for presidential and senate elections.  538 updates its predictions daily based on new opinion polls and developments relating to candidates in the elections being covered.  538 uses a variety of different means to come up with their predictions.  They have predictions based on historic polls, current polls and a combination of the two plus economic and social statistics.  

270 to Win http://www.270towin.com/

270 to win also shows predictions on the 2016 election but is better known for its interactive electoral map.  The site also has versions of the map as predicted by different political analysts. 

 

   

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